Five key takeaways from Israel’s parliamentary elections

Israel’s parliamentary elections have produced a closely contested political race, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc holding a narrow lead over the opposition alliance led by former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, according to preliminary results.

With approximately 55 per cent of the votes counted by Wednesday morning, Netanyahu’s bloc was projected to secure 56 seats in the 120-member Knesset, while Eisenkot’s alliance was expected to win 49 seats. The figures indicate that neither side has an assured path to forming a stable governing majority.

Here are five key takeaways from the election results so far.

1. Netanyahu’s bloc maintains a narrow lead

Preliminary results showed Netanyahu’s political bloc ahead of its main rival. However, the margin remains uncertain as vote counting continues, leaving the final distribution of seats open to change.

2. Likud emerges as the largest party

Netanyahu’s Likud party was projected to win approximately 27 seats, compared with 21 for Eisenkot’s Yashar party, according to updated projections from Israeli broadcasters Channels 12 and 13. The result could strengthen Likud’s position in negotiations over the next government.

3. No clear governing majority

Despite its lead, Netanyahu’s bloc may struggle to secure the support required to govern comfortably. The opposition also faces the challenge of assembling enough parliamentary backing to replace the incumbent prime minister.

4. Election shaped by security and Gaza war

The vote was widely viewed as a referendum on Netanyahu’s leadership, particularly following the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023, and Israel’s subsequent military campaign in Gaza. The conflict, its humanitarian consequences and wider regional tensions have remained central issues in Israeli politics.

5. Arab parties could play a significant role

Arab political parties were collectively projected to win 19 seats, potentially increasing their influence in the new parliament. Their representation could become important in negotiations, depending on the final results and the willingness of competing blocs to seek their support.